Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 21.735548 25.043721 28.611157 32.734956 37.360931 42.380366 48.228861
2025-09-28 15.599735 20.074416 25.357394 32.010058 40.114893 49.616606 61.542669
2025-10-05 13.209943 18.501374 25.191024 34.163870 45.764704 60.126710 79.103022
2025-10-12 11.467167 17.249451 24.988576 35.919090 50.742089 69.900735 96.247541
2025-10-19 9.749975 15.660787 23.992714 36.316683 53.747389 77.135538 110.422176
2025-10-26 8.360642 14.272063 23.011167 36.489452 56.282832 83.733022 123.990233
2025-11-02 7.093927 12.844657 21.743256 36.021360 57.738568 88.790234 135.596795
2025-11-09 6.020862 11.543439 20.472503 35.347925 58.731627 93.127663 146.303217
2025-11-16 5.111683 10.365506 19.230069 34.540021 59.371173 96.882775 156.258415
2025-11-23 4.265405 9.157840 17.775653 33.204169 59.011569 99.026955 163.831144
2025-11-30 3.936239 8.850995 17.812332 34.320277 62.611221 107.377897 181.172923
2025-12-07 3.642391 8.565168 17.843982 35.407432 66.204535 115.874222 199.115570
2025-12-14 3.135084 7.803463 16.978270 34.942923 67.347399 120.844716 212.324426
2025-12-21 2.637203 6.979227 15.902003 34.008686 67.648921 124.546727 223.878017
2025-12-28 2.532722 7.005846 16.495992 36.247151 73.711206 138.153309 252.280640
2026-01-04 2.395852 6.932295 16.871816 38.088490 79.169915 151.020502 280.075638
2026-01-11 2.149852 6.549283 16.547505 38.505741 82.011816 159.521093 300.924114
2026-01-18 1.916347 6.150671 16.133450 38.687282 84.398377 167.323178 320.919496
2026-01-25 1.666427 5.655908 15.434864 38.194950 85.426756 172.730053 336.983082
2026-02-01 1.437132 5.166323 14.677071 37.486598 85.952382 177.218571 351.599299
2026-02-08 1.231621 4.696620 13.896816 36.636686 86.105705 180.993081 365.071973
2026-02-15 1.028022 4.180314 12.921265 35.231068 84.986783 182.286607 374.066700
2026-02-22 0.965636 4.101920 13.056221 36.405492 89.344315 194.194839 403.020039